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Saturday, March 26, 2011

ICC Pending Trials Raise Odinga's 2012 Stakes

This ending week has seen politicians from the two factions of Kenya's coalition government engage in a war of words over the waiting trials of the suspected masterminds of the post-election violence of 2008.

Already,ICC prosecutor Luis Moreno Ocampo has indicated  he has a strong case against the six suspects perceived to have had the greatest responsibility in the electoral mayhem that caused the death of over 1000 people.

There has been a lot of argument here lately among politicians with some rooting for a local tribunal to try the suspects while  others expressing confidence in  the ICC.

The trials,apart from putting key politician's careers on the line,have been seen as an  influential  factor in the  elections to be held next year  with Prime minister Raila Odinga  still topping  as the most preferred candidate ,according to surveys.

But even then ,the premier's  popularity has seemingly diminished in what can be attributed to his latest advocacy for the ICC.The Orange Democratic Movement(ODM),the Pm's party is apparently in jeopardy with many members condemning it.

The Pm said Thursday that the party was not going to foot legal expenses for its members implicated in the 2008 mayhem.On Friday the party through Ababu Namwamba said  it was to hep them.
Mr William Ruto of Eldoret North ,the most obvious of the  ODM  party rebels,and a suspect in the ICC case ,has already turned down the offer ,accusing the party of hypocrisy citing a letter allegedly written to the ICC  by the party calling for stern action.

These latest developments will in all likelihood  reduce Mr Odinga's popularity in the lead up to next years polls,making the outcome of the plebiscite  overly unpredictable.